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No topic the 2023 Fat Bowl easiest being at halftime, odds had been released for the 2024 Fat Bowl, a.k.a. Fat Bowl 58.
Unsurprisingly, this year’s convention champions – the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles – are each and every among the many discontinuance-five making a wager favorites in the opening Fat Bowl 58 odds. They are joined by the Buffalo Funds, Cincinnati Bengals and San Francisco 49ers, all of whom reached no decrease than the divisional spherical closing season.
Breaking News 2024 Fat Bowl Odds
|Crew||Odds||Implied Safe Chance|
|Kansas City Chiefs||+600||14.29%|
|San Francisco 49ers||+900||10%|
|Los Angeles Chargers||+2000||4.76%|
|Green Bay Packers||+2500||3.85%|
|Contemporary York Jets||+2500||3.85%|
|Los Angeles Rams||+3000||3.23%|
|Contemporary Orleans Saints||+3500||2.78%|
|Las Vegas Raiders||+4000||2.44%|
|Contemporary York Giants||+4000||2.44%|
|Contemporary England Patriots||+5500||1.79%|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+7500||1.32%|
There may perchance be a essential fall off in the percentages from the discontinuance five to the next tier. The highest community ranges in odds from +600 to +900, while the sixth-popular Dallas Cowboys are down at +1500.
On the assorted conclude of the list, there is another immense gap between the backside-three groups – Arizona, Houston, and Indianapolis, who are all +28000 – and the the relaxation of the self-discipline, which begins with Tampa Bay at +7500.
The enormous majority of the league (21 of 32 groups) live between +2500 and +7500, with an implied salvage probability between 3.85% and 1.32%.
Chiefs sit down a minimize above the self-discipline
With reigning NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes in the highest of his profession, Kansas City has opened because the +600 popular to salvage Fat Bowl 58. The Chiefs believe captured three of the past four AFC Championships and won all of it in 2018. They’ve a handful of essential impending free agents – alongside with Orlando Brown Jr, Carlos Dunlap, JuJu Smith-Schuster, and Mecole Hardman – but the bulk of their starters ought to be intact heading into the 2023-24 season.
Closing year’s K.C. protection was also stacked with learners who project to get better as sophomores (Bryan Cook, George Karlaftis, Jaylen Watson, Joshua Williams, and Trent McDuffie). The Chiefs protection done the 2022 licensed season rated 17th in Defensive DVOA at Football Outsiders, a number that is at probability of present a take to in 2023.
Kansas City’s offense, meanwhile, was by some distance the most-efficient in the league per Football Outsiders thanks to Mahomes’ award-worthy play.
Eagles, 49ers top groups in NFC
The most effective NFC groups in the discontinuance five are the 2 groups that met in the 2023 NFC Championship Sport. The reigning NFC-champion Eagles and runner-up 49ers believe each and every opened at +900.
Philadelphia and San Francisco also earned the discontinuance-two seeds in the NFC playoffs closing year, ending the licensed season at 14-3 and 13-4, respectively, while posting the 2 easiest point differentials in the convention (+173 and +133). As adverse to the Dallas Cowboys (+125), no various team in the NFC had some extent differential higher than +26. Ten of the 15 groups in the discontinuance-heavy convention had a detrimental point differential.
AFC closely appreciated over NFC
With the Eagles, 49ers, and Cowboys representing the best NFC groups shorter than +2500, the AFC finishes up being a heavy popular in the early Fat Bowl 58 odds. Cumulatively, the implied salvage probability of the 16 groups in the AFC provides to 70%, while the 16 NFC groups are down at upright 55%.
Within the opening 2023 NFL MVP odds, all three +700 co-favorites – Mahomes, Buffalo’s Josh Allen, and Cincinnati’s Joe Burrow – all live in the AFC, as neatly. Philadelphia QB Jalen Hurts is the discontinuance NFC probability, opening as co-fifth-popular at +1200.
If the Eagles hang on to their ten-point halftime lead in Fat Bowl 57, seek recordsdata from their odds to repeat to salvage shorter sooner than the night is over.
Fat Bowl 58 will happen on Sunday, Feb. 11, 2024, at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, NV, home of the Las Vegas Raiders.
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